Advanced Futures Trading Strategies Robert Carver Pdf ❲Original❳
Most trend-followers suffer 30-40% drawdowns. Carver engineers his portfolio to have "shallower" drawdowns (10-15%) by using Forex hedging and speed limits.
He introduces the concept of IDM (Instrument Diversification Multiplier). If your raw portfolio risk is 5%, you multiply it by 2.5 to get to 12.5% risk. This mathematical leverage allows him to stay in the market longer without blowing up.
Most traders focus on price. Carver focuses on risk.
In Advanced Futures Trading Strategies, Carver argues that predicting price direction is hard, but measuring volatility is easy. His primary strategy is Volatility Targeting: advanced futures trading strategies robert carver pdf
Searching for a Carver PDF often comes from traders who blew up their accounts using 10x leverage on ES futures. Carver’s advanced rule is brutal: Never risk more than 2.5% of capital on a single day's volatility.
He introduces the concept of "Dynamic Leverage."
Most retail PDFs ignore this, telling you to set a static stop loss. Carver shows that a static stop loss ($500 loss) is statistically inferior to a volatility-based position size adjustment. Most trend-followers suffer 30-40% drawdowns
Unlike amateurs who trade 50 instruments, Carver advocates for a diversified set of about 20-30 futures.
Carver famously argues you need between 12 and 20 uncorrelated futures markets. His advanced list excludes popular correlated markets:
Over the next week, Elias devoured the PDF. He stopped trading entirely. He realized he had been gambling, not trading. The document walked him through the anatomy of sophisticated strategies—not the "holy grail" indicators he was used to, but robust, static systems designed to harvest risk premiums. Most retail PDFs ignore this, telling you to
He focused on three core pillars from the text:
Elias had always traded the same number of contracts regardless of the market's volatility. If the S&P 500 was quiet, he traded five contracts. If it was screaming, he traded five contracts. The PDF explained why this was insanity. He learned to size his positions based on the volatility of the asset, ensuring that a trade in volatile natural gas carried the same risk weight as a trade in staid Eurodollar futures.
The legal disclaimer: You can find Robert Carver’s Advanced Futures Trading Strategies on Leanpub (where he often updates it) or Amazon. While many search for a "free PDF," Carver actively provides a "pay what you want" model for some of his older books (like Systematic Trading).
If you find a PDF online claiming to be his work, verify the tables and Python code—Carver is famous for using pandas and numpy snippets that are often stripped out of pirated copies.